Revised May 23, 2013
Revised June 4, 2013
|Morris Creedon-McVean 03-28-2013|
The reason for this revision is due to evidence that "the rats are beginning to jump off of the sinking ship". This new information should add a substantial boost to the credibility of my basic argument.
First, Gov. Perry's budget proposal calling for tax cuts was defeated by a resounding 4:1 margin. Hardly what one would expect from four term Governor who has held an iron handed grip on Texas State policy for well over a decade. As of today, he has set himself up for a fall of political grace unprecedented in the history of this county.
The Texas Tribune published the following article, making it clear that he is spreading his pathological lying to the rest of the county. This sets him up for looking like a greater fool that he demonstrated in the live broadcast by FOX of the debate with Mitt Romney when he was in the running for the GOP candidate for President. Romney, hardly a formidable opponent as he demonstrated repeatedly when he became the GOP candidate, cannot think on his feet, won the "debate" when during the second hour Perry became so rattled he could not complete a single sentence for the entire hour. The FOX announcers had to resort to making fun of him for the painful or hilarious (depending on whether you were a Perry supporter or not) the entire second hour, in order to preserve some journalistic integrity. That second hour instantly removed Perry from consideration, as Obama never gets rattled even under the greatest pressure. This quality drives the GOP nuts, and they hate him even more because he is so competent.
The bald face lies as reported in the following article include his omission of the extreme risk of drought in at least half of the state. This failure of omission was pointed out by the Mayor of Chicago in the article. Also his bragging about "a fair legal system" is laughable. The State of Texas does not have a department of Justice, but a Department of Punishment. Unless you are wealthy, if you are charged with a crime you will go to prison. Texas not only has the highest incarceration rate in the United States, but it is the highest of any country in the world. Higher than countries with totally corrupt despots with secret police. The attitude about "justice" can be summed up in the following action by the District Attorney for Travis county. There are 30 men who have been in prison for 10 to 30 years after being convicted for sexual assault. Recent more sophisticated DNA analysis proved without a shadow of doubt that none of the 30 men were the perps. When the DA was asked why these men were still in jail given the conclusive evidence that were innocent, the DA replied: "We don't have the money to retry them." Retry them??? Since there is no moral or ethical defense to this position, the 30 men, all black, should just be released from prison with an apology from the State and a check for all the lost wages incurred while falsely imprisoned. In Texas you are guilty until proven innocent. The majority of these convictions were made after it was well established by multiple studies that victims of assault are totally unreliable witnesses due to the plasticity of human memory. During the two year wait for the trail each time the victim thinks of the horror of the event, the memories change. It is very much like a computer hard drive. Each time you use an application, when it is rewritten back to the hard drive a few errors are made, until over time the application stops working properly, and has to have a "clean"copy reinstalled. Study after study showed that victims of assault could do no better than random chance in identifying the perp. This information was withheld from the juries and most of the convictions were made solely on the basis of the victim's testimony identifying the perp. One man, a model citizen with a promising career, had collaborative witnesses by other upstanding citizens that he was not even in the State at the time of the alleged assault. He was convicted solely on the basis of the victim's testimony. He remains in prison. Several of the 30 falsely imprisoned have had the victims publicly recant their testimony, stating that their identification of the perp was an error. Summary, you cannot prove your innocence in this State, especially if you are black.
This high profile series of lies about coming to Texas is going to set up Perry for a huge fall, when Travis County and the City of Austin run out of water in the near future. Anarchy will ensue, many lives will be lost, and the showpiece city of Texas will destroyed, as the city will be abandoned by at least 80% of the population. Who wants to live in place with no electrical power and no water? Not only will Perry look like the biggest fool and liar in the country, but trickle down effect of the destruction of Austin, could bankrupt the state as people in Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston begin to question the safety of their water supply, and begin to join the Austinites in a mass migration out of the State and high tech corporations reconsider their plans to continue to place more operations in this drought plagued state.
Today the Austin American-Statesman printed the following article on the front page:
The significance of this is that this is the break in the newspapers loyal parroting of Perry's position on the drought: "The drought represents no threat to the State of Texas." A year ago, around the time Neal Wilkins, then the chairman of the Texas Water Commission was fired by Perry for doing his job. His job, as a highly regarded national expert on land management, recommended "drastic cutbacks in our use of water and power". This happened on June 29, 2012, when the combined water in our two reservoirs hit a predetermined "trigger point, which was the low of the 1951 drought. This event was not even reported by the AA-S. Instead, they published a steady stream of fabricated evidence that the drought was getting better. That overt support stopped early in the summer when conditions kept worsening as reported by the scientists at the NCRA, and reported by meteorologist Bob Rose on the States official web site. After Wilkins dismissal, Perry started falsifying the published numbers on the water levels of the two reservoirs. The falsification became painfully obvious by the fall when the posted numbers showed no decline, when inflows were reported as negligible. The reserves when when Wilkins was fired were almost exactly our average annual usage. And a full year later with negligible inflows, the State website reports the combined lake levels as 789,000 acre feet; slightly lower than a year ago, but based on the well documented inflows, still preposterously high. It is hard for me to stomach that this town teeming with PhD scientists, has had no one other than myself challenge these numbers.
First is an article by John Nielson-Gammon of the Houston Chronicle called "Climactic Abyss" published on Sept. 28, 2012.
Second are the editorials by the State's NCRA's (North Colorado River Authority) Meterologist Bob Rose, who somehow was overlooked in the purging of the knowledgeable former Commission. This former Commission was chaired by Neal Wilkins,PhD. He did his job on July 29, 2012 by stating that the combined reservoir total equaled the predetermined trigger point of the low of the 1951 drought, and recommended immediate major cutbacks in our use of water and electrical power. Since such a move would threaten the city's rampant growth, Gov. Perry immediately fired Wilkins and a month later replaced the entire Commission with "yes men" from the finacial and real estate development sectors. Somehow, Rose escaped the purge, perhaps because he only wrote his column 3 times a week. But, as a scientist he was a strong ally of Wilkins, and has continued to post warnings without ever using buzz words like "running out of water", "running dry", or saying anything that sounds like a prediction. Since Wilkins left, Rose has written a stream of weather reports about how various weather patterns are not putting water into our reservoirs.
On Bob Rose's report of May 13, 2013 he said the following:
"Drought becoming more intense as weather offers little relief.
Because of the extremely dry weather, very little water has flowed into the Highland Lakes so far this year and the prolonged drought gripping the region is growing stronger.
There have been a few violent storms in 2013, but they have not produced much water for lakes Travis and Buchanan, the lower Colorado River basin's water reservoirs. The lakes are less than 40% full. Weather forecasts call for near-to-slightly below-normal rainfall across Texas through August; but, there is not expected to be enough rain to break the drought.
Because of the prolonged drought, the amount of water flowing into the lakes, called inflows, has been historically low over the past two years. Inflows in 2011 were the lowest in history, at about 10 percent of average, and inflows in 2012 were the fifth lowest in history, at about 32% of average."
Virtually every column rose has written since Wilkins left has had a similar tone: the weather conditions are not very beneficial for our reservoirs; and , the pattern does not look like it will change. He does not challenge Perry's falsified reservoirs numbers, but is very clear from his steady stream of negative comments based on real facts and meticulous research. To a scientist it would be very clear that his statements are based on excellent research. But this is easy to miss if you have no insight into the political situation. A strict scientist would consider it an ethically inexcusable act not to challenge Perry's numbers, because the person who reads just one of his columns, would conclude that Rose doesn't make sense since it is natural to think HE is publishing the stats. Without knowledge that Perry is fabricating these numbers, it is easy to dismiss Rose as a quack. But he has performed a great service by staying on and telling as much of the truth as he can. It must be agonizing for him to keep working under these conditions: to be associated with bold face lies. We owe him a great debt to have been doing outstanding Meteorological work under these conditions. Once I caught on to the game, Rose has supported every one of my suspicions that the situation is much more dire than the state's web site would lead us to believe.
Please, don't take my word for any of this, do your own research. It will not take much time since I have outlined the path of deception for you. Using the current data to calculate the amount of water that should be in each reservoir according to the published date, then go look at the two reservoirs and see if you think the data is accurate.
The following data was accurate when I originally wrote this article March 20, 2013. I have left it here for the reader to compare to the current data as posted on the LCRA website : http://www.lcra.org/water/supply/index.html.
One of our two reservoirs, Lake Travis, has been observed by lake front property owners to be a “muddy trickle of the Colorado River”. They have not made any noise about this because they are trying to sell their homes. However, this is solid proof that the statistics on the official NCRA (North Colorado River Authority) web site are fraudulent and intentionally deceptive. Here is today's report:
COMBINED VOLUME OF LAKES BUCHANAN AND TRAVIS
0.817 million acre-feet
Current levels as of May 23, 2013
Since the amount in Lake Travis is known to be zero, the entire 817,380 acre-feet must be in Buchanan. How much water is really in Lake Buchanan is a guessing game. So, let’s reverse engineer this problem.
There is also no historical precedent : no prosperous city of this size has suddenly plunged into anarchy in the history of our our species. This "it can't happen" and "they wouldn't let Austin die" attitude, prevents the people, even smart and well educated intellectuals (which this city has a wealth of---Austin probably has the highest PhD per capita of any city in the country---and most of them are scientists who power the wealth of high tech industries).
The military from nearby Fort Hood will arrive after the most critical period for theft, rioting and disruptive violence. The local police will be totally overwhelmed just with the traffic situation alone. Without signal lights, every major intersection will be a source of traffic clogging, fender benders, and worse as panicked people try to find food, water and gasoline. Every sociopath in the county will seize this opportunity as an excuse to raise hell and not get caught. One can only image what kinds of things such people will do. So, every household needs to be ready to defend themselves. The majority are not, in spite of the national belief that everyone in Texas owns several guns. This is true of native rural Texans, but not for the intellectually elite who moved here from all over the country and the world for these high tech jobs.
Below is additional evidence of the total failure of the government to properly manage this water crisis. By law, the Stage 3 water conservation calls for the following:
|A dramatic illustration of the typical runoff from automated systems.|
Much of the water doesn't even hit the grass but the sidewalks or the street,
and the owners know nothing of it since the timers are set in the middle of the
Other examples: every car wash in town is operating full-bore in a gross violation of section "E"
A gentleman and a scholar
May 23, 2013
June 4, 2013
Further updates will soon follow as I have the time to input new data.